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The most recent villager cannot get the thought bubble until someone else moves in after them.
You can, however, use amiibos or the random campsite visitor (savescum until they choose the one you want out) to kick out the most recent move in.
Zell was my first one, and I really liked him, so I got lucky there. I haven't had too much good luck besides Phoebe (she replaced my start Uchi, Agnes), and Sylvana (Caroline is the superior normal squirrel so I didn't get her to move in)
You can still TT forward one day at a time, but don't TT backwards or forwards more than one day until the new villager moves completely in.
This can cause the house exterior glitch and plots to auto fill with voided villagers
Zell the smug deer will be in boxes shortly (just have to TT to the next day). I'll be voiding him soon, so please let me know if you would like him. He's free :)
Edit: he's on hold rn for someone!
Edit 2: he has a new home!
Yeah you don’t need that much info. You can find it with a couple dates of weather events really.
I found mine with 2 heavy shower dates and 3 light shower star times (just to the minute not seconds)
screenshots help a ton because they have time stamps on them!
There won't be any visitor at all. Campsite visitors stay there for one day only.
Here are the chances of getting a visitor:
Days since last visitor:
1-2: 0%
3: 5%
4: 10%
5: 15%
6+: 20%
Visitors are on the rarer side... 20% is still pretty low and it's very well possible to go at least 2...
Another thing to keep in mind is that you may have a heavy meteor shower and not know it because Isabelle won't announce it if there's other news for her to announce that day (for example, a villager birthday or the start of a new season like wedding season or something).
There are 2 types of...
If it’s messing up for you:
Please double check the information entered (easy using TT).
Remember that for the weather patterns: it’s most obvious at the top of the hour (X:00), and this is when the tool uses to calculate what weather pattern you have
I think it’s different for everyone as to what’s a “good” seed. But we all can agree that the 2 cursed seeds I listed in my original post suck because they have 0 heavy meteor showers in 2020.