HELP!! Turnip emergency!!! (Urgent question)

[czok23]

Hey guys so I made a big investment in the stalk market this week but because of my stupid busy real life I missed my chance to check the turnip prices for monday am/pm and tuesday am.

Now its wednesday around 3:30 which only gives me 7.5 hours to sell these turnips. I have the prices for tuesday pm and wednesday am/pm, which i will post below:

Mon am: ?
***** pm: ?
Tues am: ?
***** pm: 146
Wed am: 160
***** pm: 140

So I have no idea what pattern this is. Past experience and my gut are telling me to sell now, cuz the price was already rising and has now made its first drop.

However, I sometimes use this "stalk market wizard" that (after inputting your collected prices/times) automatically tells you whether its a better idea to sell your turnips or hold them based on the given info. He is telling me to HOLD them, even though I have never seen a price rise again after it has already risen and then dropped.

While I acknowledge that this advice COULD be misinformation due to my incomplete data that I provided the wizard with, there is a chance that 160 wasnt even the "real spike", OR that the pattern is random. Im starting to think it might be random cuz otherwise why else would the wizard say to keep holding after the price already dropped? Then again, my gut is telling me I might not see the price rise again this week and this might be my best profit possible at this point.

Thank you for taking the time to read this if you have, and please respond if any of you have any thoughts/ideas/advice on the matter!

 

[Mu~]

How about visiting someone else's town and sell them there? There's a turnip prices thread in this forum.

 

[lars708]

If you have no way of visiting someone else's town then I'd recommend selling soon.

But really the best option is look around in turnip threads and visit someone with a high turnip price to sell yours at their town.

 

[czok23]

None of my friends are online and I cant seem to find this turnip thread yall are talkin about. Could someone hook me up with a link to that thread? OR maybe if you guys wouldnt mind checking the current prices in your own towns? If you help me out im sure theres some way i could return the favor!

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*edit* Actually I just found the turnip thread. Still if any one of you are down to help me out directly with this issue I would be very appreciative!

 

[lars708]

My turnip price is at 97 so I can't help you directly, I'm sorry

 

[czok23]

My turnip price is at 97 so I can't help you directly, I'm sorry

Thanks anyways. Did you read my full post? Cuz honestly my towns price aint bad right now, the only issue is that the wizard is recommending I wait for a better price. I normally would just sell at this price, but Im basically asking around to see if other people agree with the wizard and think I should wait for the price to rise or just sell now at 140? (I bought at 94)

 

[lars708]

Thanks anyways. Did you read my full post? Cuz honestly my towns price aint bad right now, the only issue is that the wizard is recommending I wait for a better price. I normally would just sell at this price, but Im basically asking around to see if other people agree with the wizard and think I should wait for the price to rise or just sell now at 140? (I bought at 94)

I did read your full post which is why I recommend selling them now if you can't find anyone, I've just checked the thread and it hasn't really been active. Your bestbet would be to wait for someone to reply on here if you want to sell at a higher price. But yeah your own town's price is fine too, would net you a decent profit. It's better than waiting and losing it all y'know.

 

[czok23]

Actually normally I would just follow the wizards advice, but this time the wizard has very incomplete data to work with so I'm worried it might be leading me into a loss here. The way I see it is that the price MIGHT jump back up again but only if I have the random price pattern, and I cant tell yet.

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I did read your full post which is why I recommend selling them now if you can't find anyone, I've just checked the thread and it hasn't really been active. Your bestbet would be to wait for someone to reply on here if you want to sell at a higher price. But yeah your own town's price is fine too, would net you a decent profit. It's better than waiting and losing it all y'know.

Yeah exactly, its definitely safe to sell now and still make decent profit, yet taking this risk could yield a significantly higher profit. The deciding factor would be to determine which price pattern I have, which is what the wizard does (and by blindly following its advice, I have made some great profits before, but that was when it had the full weeks data), so i guess I came to the forum to see if anyone else could figure out which pattern I have even without the missing data. I know its a fat chance lol but I figured Id just put it out here in case anyone could convince me why I should hold them before retail closes, otherwise I will probably just sell.

 

[HHoney]

If you are going to only sell in your town it's best to do it now.

Yes, there is a chance it could go higher, but not likely. This looks like the "small fluctuations" pattern.

Over a year ago I was in my cycling town:

At 11 am it was 23 Bells.
At 3:30 pm it was 429 Bells.

Now the was a spike!

You are very smart to ask. My prices have not been very good lately. Hopefully soon it will get better

 

[czok23]

If you are going to only sell in your town it's best to do it now.

Yes, there is a chance it could go higher, but not likely. This looks like the "small fluctuations" pattern.

Over a year ago I was in my cycling town:

At 11 am it was 23 Bells.
At 3:30 pm it was 429 Bells.

Now the was a spike!

You are very smart to ask. My prices have not been very good lately. Hopefully soon it will get better

Thanks for the input! If only I was as smart in foresight as I am in hindsight I wouldnt have had to ask lol! If I hadnt missed those first 3 prices I wouldve known to sell this morning at 160 instead of now at 140! xD Not too bad of a price difference though. And who knows, maybe if I sell tonight and afterwards the price does spike up, I could find someone here on the forums who is stuck with a low price to sell me their turnips (at a better price than their town's), then I could turn around and flip em in my town to still capitalize on this potential (yet unlikely) spike-o-mine!