alright I'm not home + posting from my phone rn so bear w/ me
soooo first of all, last nights deaths kind of confuse me
*Luca shot by Oath
* Ayaya shot by mafia? Bombed by Minties?
* Daniel suicided because of the book
*Minties bombed? Hit by mafia/third party? This is the part that confuses me.
Jacob has claimed Guppy the Cat and also claimed that he was bombed by Minties... But the thing is, Minties was REALLY suspicious of Ayaya cause her posts weren't fitting her town meta at all... In fact, Minties first full analysis on the game during D1 was being sus of Ayaya (along with Lucanosa). And then she mentioned this when she said goodbye:
**** you guys.
Listen town, READ EVERYTHING THE DEAD SAID OR IT'S GG. META IS REAL. Don't be afk and lose this ****.
K bye.
and then this:
LOL the cat with two night lives? Yah I think you mucked up that claim by accident. It's not like you can't read or anything, so clearly you'd see the description on the chocolate milk and that's it's essentially a roleblock item that can save someone. You've played mafia before, so you know you usually cannot take back actions because the host wants you to put in thought before you make them.
Can anyone else counter-claim having the chocolate milk?
I also liked the hypocrisy in this post:
[Post from Ayaya was quoted here]
Meow and I have actually done something in this game, what have you done? You're one of my top scum reads because you're playing so far away from meta that it's not even funny.
Oath - Please do not shoot Jacob, he can probably be lynched tomorrow based on the current claiming mess up. If he actually used the milk, then you'd be block anyways.
Called out Ayaya. Then asked Oath NOT to shoot Jacob?
This is why I have a feeling Minties might have bombed Ayaya... and because of his mistake about his role he's saying that he was so that he would be cleared. But I'm not sure, Minties might have wanted to test Jacobs claim. Tbh i wish she would have said who she was bombing, or at least said two people she was deciding between because that would've helped clear things up.... because I really cannot tell if Jacob is telling the truth and made a genuine mistake about his role, or if he actually slipped there. But Minties seemed pretty convinced it was a slip.
I'm pretty sure either Crys or Jacob are lying. I don't know which though, and it could be both as well?? They've had little interaction almost the entire game so it's hard to read that part, but maybe that's why they avoid reading each other? However we do know that the Bloat isn't in this game, so that makes me slightly less sus of Jacob but then there's stuff like this
Things about Jacob that feel off to me:
daniel ur saying oath should shoot:
Panda
Jacob
Ayaya
because "They?re not leading town, so what?s there to lose?"
but at the same time :
"Mother of Llamas- Is the only inactive left that barely survived by voting Trundle. Hasn't voiced any opinions at all."
Also, you base most people off of previous games? like M3ow_ ?
maybe she's good enough to pretend like shes town????
you are pushing some people harder than others imo dan. sounds pretty biased to me.
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also oath u can try shooting me if u want, wont work tho!
*His roleclaim timing. Why on earth would you say that you're bulletproof/veteran without being explicitly threatened to be lynched/shot?? He could have baited himself so that mafia wasted a shot... instead he felt easily threatened by Daniel saying he should be shot. when he could have just said something like "don't waste your shot on me" and suggested better people to shoot
In Papers Please mafia he messed up his roleclaim as scum by accidentally claiming Minties role. and he confused his role description up this game.
his posts are actually pretty similar to the ones he made in that game.
From Papers Please:
ok last post haha
They both seem pretty town to me.
when Doughssant is mafia he usually puts more effort into the game iirc
I have never played with Minties, but I can tell when people get suspicious of her she grows a little frustrated, that might just be her play style, but it could also be because she doesnt want anyone to mislynch her. Again, idk cuz ive never played with her.
People mention that she could be using this as a strategy to make us think she's town (worked for me!) so we'll have to see what she's like in the days to come honestly. (I am actually relying on the more skilled players like you to break down her behavorial pattern this game for me as the game progresses- she is very smart
if you guys see something that I don't, please don't let my read stop you from voting either of these 2 haha)
smart and easy lynch. Ender is a good player im assuming so it shouldnt be that hard to take out the rest of mafia with him gone
also
if this theory is correct, we should probably keep a little closer eye on Zoolka's posts tomorrow
I have never played with Crys before. Interested to see their playing style differs or relates to Dough/haydenn's. Dough is also typically random and hard to read (though he seemed to be playing a tad more serious this game...), so if him/Crys is red, we could potentially be able to catch that easier than Dough
this game:
hes trying to be unpredictable #randomxd
getting a read on dough is tough, you will learn that about him eventually
based off of this playstyle and amount of posting he's doing compared to previous games, it wouldnt surprise me if dough was third party.
also excited to see the reads on trundle and how he responds to them
@ m3ew
ive given my thoughts on dough already but the way trundle isnt doing much but openly mentioning people names (like u mentioned) and only just started getting serious / a little defensive when minties said she didnt town read him doesnt sit with me very well, as he did the same exact tactic in papers please. Now im not saying im scum reading Minties rn but trundle certainly is the kind of player who would throw a fellow scum team mate under the bus when he is called out, so the way he just came back to minties like 'oh well yea im not scum u are' makes me think that they could possibly both be scum. (same thing happened when he tried to desperately make everyone vote me instead of him when he was set for lynch.)
now those are my thoughts right now for him, but of course my theory could easily be flawed. Thats why im scum reading trundle and null reading minties. still waiting to hear what she has to say about trundle
Sure,
1. Dough = You say meta is very important, I have posted before a whiiile back my reads on his meta and how it is similar to last games he was town in. Plus he even was smart enough to continue reading me as town. With the sus activity i have been posting, it would only be logical for a scum member to go along with me being an easy scum target.
2. Ayaya = I have very similar reads as she posted a couple posts back. M3ow_ possible 3rd party, Minties possible Maf for the reasons stated. I'm not as sus of Minties tho for the reason she begging to be saved. I don't think she would be so desparate to stay alive, if she was maf, she would fight even harder to stay alive.
3. M3ow_ = Reasons stated by Ayaya.
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EBWOP again:
Dough
Ayaya
M3ow_
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For the 5th time, it was sheer confusion. I thought I had it figured out but I didn't.
That second quote reminds me exactly of Papers Please. long paragraphs kinda sorta saying people are sus and then ending it like "idk tho I could be wrong" because he doesn't want to say the wrong thing for when/if they flip town
The second one is just contradicting entirely. He said he thought dough was possible 3rd party and now he townreads him. not saying that this change in opinion is sus, but the fact that he said that he townread him earlier in the game when he actually didn't, is. He townread Dough when Dough townread him, which just makes me feel like he's trying to get on someone's good side. So unless he explains the reasoning behind his shift then this change of opinion for seemingly no reason is really weird to me.
He also town read Minties for making cases then asking to be saved... when I did the exact same thing, I've been making cases and I also asked to be saved when I lynched Ness. But somehow that makes me 3rd party and Minties town.
Also now Dough has claimed blue... so we have 7 blue roles in the game apparently (counting the three dead)... which I'm not sure how likely that is, given that there's two scum teams.
THIS WAS A PAIN TO TYPE UP. I need a break and I'll continue with my thoughts on Crys, Panda & Cory
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I'm a victim btw
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I'm a victim btw
remember 3 of these people don't belong here)
