But eh, who knows, maybe they’ll decide after Splatoon 3 wraps that what the world really needs is, like, a full-fledged fashion design sim starring Label and Gracie helping your young tailor on the path to greatness, which includes way more variety in pro design options.
While this admittedly is a comparison between two different series, so it's hard to make direct comparisons between the two, it's worth noting that AC:NH is currently the 2nd highest selling Switch game, trailing only Mario Kart 8 Deluxe by roughly 3 millon units. MK8D has been out for 4 and a half years now, and it's important to note that it is an enhanced port of MK8 which came out 7 and a half years ago. Despite the age of MK8/MK8D and the number of units sold, we still haven't had Mario Kart 9 even announced yet even though previous iterations of the series generally produced main series games within 3 years of each other on average. So it's not a guarantee that AC:NH selling well means there will be a new main series AC game sooner rather than later.Nintendo made over a billion dollars off of New Horizons—it’s looking to be one (if not) the bestselling game for the Switch.
I’d say there is less than zero percent likelihood that they won’t make another. And I’d also say there’s a very good chance that the gap in between this game and the next will be noticeably shorter than for previous installments.
While this admittedly is a comparison between two different series, so it's hard to make direct comparisons between the two, it's worth noting that AC:NH is currently the 2nd highest selling Switch game, trailing only Mario Kart 8 Deluxe by roughly 3 millon units. MK8D has been out for 4 and a half years now, and it's important to note that it is an enhanced port of MK8 which came out 7 and a half years ago. Despite the age of MK8/MK8D and the number of units sold, we still haven't had Mario Kart 9 even announced yet even though previous iterations of the series generally produced main series games within 3 years of each other on average. So it's not a guarantee that AC:NH selling well means there will be a new main series AC game sooner rather than later.
It's definitely unrealistic to think we'll get a new main series Animal Crossing game any time soon. They have been working on New Horizons and the Happy Home Paradise DLC this whole time, so it's unlikely they've even entered a pre-development phase for the next main series AC game. I do think it'll be years until we get a new main series Animal Crossing game. Probably not until 2025 at the very earliest, if I had to guess, though 2026-27 feels more realistic to me. It's likely we'll see a spin-off game or two during that time, though, given the game's popularity.
Yeah, I interpreted your post as referring to the 3-4 year gaps of the previous installments in addition to the 8 year gap between NL and NH rather than just the NL-NH gap, so that's fine.Not gonna argue with you—I did only say there was a very good chance it’ll be sooner than previous installments, not that it was guaranteed. By “sooner” I just meant under the seven years it was last time.
The main takeaway from what I said was that the game has gone from being comparatively niche to mainstream, and that that very well might affect the treatment it gets.
Let’s be real though—I’d rather them take longer and actually release a full, finished game next time anyway.
I also wanted to add/mention, the welcome amiibo update of new leaf launched 2016, ending New Leaf.2001 - Animal Crossing - N64/Gamecube
2005 - AC: Wild World - DS
2008 - AC: City Folk - Wii
2012 - AC: New Leaf - 3DS
2020 - AC: New Horizons - Switch
There has never been more than one Animal Crossing game per system, I don't think that will change, ACNH is very likely the only AC game for Switch.
The shortest gap between games is 3 years, Wild World to City Folk, however both the DS and Wii sold a ton of units, and one was handheld while the other was a console. I doubt Nintendo would release a brand new AC game 3 years apart given the singular focus on Switch now.
On the other hand, the 8 year gap between New Leaf and New Horizons was a long time to wait for a new AC game. This might be due to the fact that Wii U didn't sell a lot of units, and since AC was always a pretty niche game (before ACNH), Nintendo probably couldn't justify releasing it for Wii U.
So I don't think we'll have to wait 8 years again after the massive success ACNH was, but also longer than 3 years... my guess would be the next Animal Crossing game will come around 2024-2025, on the Switch's successor.