Ok I wasn't scumhunting seriously on my first game for obvious reasons so I didn't learn much on how to scumhunt.
If you think there is something lacking in my suspicion and/or reading, please point out why as I am eager to learn in this game.
For now, I have reasons to suspect Daniel and Tom are in a scum team. I can point out the evidence from their posts later but as I am on phone right now, so I'll do it without their posts first
First, Daniel. He started the mislynch on Starry from what I've read and I would probably dismiss him as a bad town if it wasn't how he reacted after it turned to be a bad mislynch. From what I've noticed:
- He started to bandwagon for Starry because she's inactive and will hinder the game, said she's a good lynch but seems not sure himself that she's scum and can't provide better evidence beside her past behaviour
- Also claims he started the bandwagon to get people going and start examining others too
- Yet when people pointed out that lynching Starry may not be good choice, Daniel stuck to his view and insist on lynching Starry
- After Starry turned out to be a Blue Role, he doesn't seem to feel sorry for the mislynch and kept trying to justify his view, and can be seen panicking because he's next to lynch. As you said, mislynching seems common on the first day but there is no reason for you to panic and defend yourself at any accusation thrown at you, unless you're scum and realized you screwed up.
Here's what I think happened:
- Daniel might be the only active scum in the team, and wanted to be a good scum, he thought he should lead a mislynch on someone, and what better candidate but Starry, who no one trust, isn't viewed well in other player's eyes, and is away so she can't defend herself? It'Il be an easy mislynch
- Unfortunately this backfired on him because it makes him scummier to do an obvious mislynch. He panicks and defend himself badly, showing how inconsistent he is with his reasons (probably because he didn't have any in the first place)
- Haydenn and Aelia gets replaced by Tom and me. Ness was quick in replacing Haydenn, so if my guess about Daniel working alone is right, then I think Haydenn was Arsonists Leader
- He was replaced by Tom and, seeing his teammate is under fire, swoops in with his TL;DR post. He didn't clear Daniel quickly and called him dumb scum, probably to make him look like he's not with him, but he agreed on the Starry lynch to probably make Daniel less scum. He didn't attack him but instead, try to find other players for town to be suspicious on. You can see on his posts that he tried to put the spotlight on Trundle, and then lurkers (Dolby for example), so town can look away from Daniel's mistake.
That's my reading so far. I'm not sure how to put my thoughts into words so if this is a pain to read, I'm sorry. Please point out any mistake I might have in my read, and if you have your own thoughts on who is more suspicious, I'd also love to hear it.