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Lottie's Gothic Rose Festival Schedule + Extras

I interpreted that share rate to mean the reward in seeds you get when you share bats with friends, rather than catch rates of bats. So the catch rate is what is represented in the far left boxes, and the seed reward rates from fulfilling villager requests and sharing various bats in friends gardens are in the boxes running to the top right. Am I misreading that?

Ah.

You might be very, very right.
 
I interpreted that share rate to mean the reward in seeds you get when you share bats with friends, rather than catch rates of bats. So the catch rate is what is represented in the far left boxes, and the seed reward rates from fulfilling villager requests and sharing various bats in friends gardens are in the boxes running to the top right. Am I misreading that?

Oh ugh, you are right, I didn't really look at it myself and just went by what people are saying. So the catch rate is about the same then. Maybe we will need less bats? I really won't be able to handle it if this is as hard as the rover event.
 
I have all the new villagers including Stitches, but no option to craft the first amenity shown, only the mushroom tent.

- - - Post Merge - - -

Oh ugh, you are right, I didn't really look at it myself and just went by what people are saying. So the catch rate is about the same then. Maybe we will need less bats? I really won't be able to handle it if this is as hard as the rover event.

I saw a thread on reddit that showed that they did increase the catch rate over what it was in the Rover event, but only marginally so.
 
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I interpreted that share rate to mean the reward in seeds you get when you share bats with friends, rather than catch rates of bats. So the catch rate is what is represented in the far left boxes, and the seed reward rates from fulfilling villager requests and sharing various bats in friends gardens are in the boxes running to the top right. Am I misreading that?

DUoqm-lVMAEebXL.jpg


Looking at this infographic again, I think you are right ravenblue. The 95% rate does seem to refer to how often and from what source, you will get the seeds for the event. Still the catch rate does seem to be higher for the rare bats especially when I compare it to my personal catch rate for the Rover Event. I would frequently only catch 1 or 2 out of a garden full of butterflies during the second half of the Rover Event, and a handful of times I didn't catch a single butterfly. If the infographic above is correct, we should be catching very close to half (if not better) of every bat. While it may still be challenging, I still believe it will be markedly improved from the Rover Event. Even though our catch rate won't be higher from shared butterflies, this event will still be much easier with a little help from our friends! :blush:
 
DUoqm-lVMAEebXL.jpg


Looking at this infographic again, I think you are right ravenblue. The 95% rate does seem to refer to how often and from what source, you will get the seeds for the event. Still the catch rate does seem to be higher for the rare bats especially when I compare it to my personal catch rate for the Rover Event. I would frequently only catch 1 or 2 out of a garden full of butterflies during the second half of the Rover Event, and a handful of times I didn't catch a single butterfly. If the infographic above is correct, we should be catching very close to half (if not better) of every bat. While it may still be challenging, I still believe it will be markedly improved from the Rover Event. Even though our catch rate won't be higher from shared butterflies, this event will still be much easier with a little help from our friends! :blush:

I agree. I figure it's close enough to 50/50, which does seem to be better than what I was catching before. Statistics is not my strong suit, but I was kind of comparing RNG in-game for this event to something like a coin toss chance, which isn't so bad overall. Individual luck may play a role, but it really seems like better odds overall this time while still keeping a good challenge going. Just didn't want people thinking it was 95% catch rate and then disappointed they were catching rather lower when it comes down to it...
 
Sorry, my fault. Oops.

I agree with Mopy. No way did I catch 50% of the golds I got last time.

Though, I did just work out how many flowers a person would need to grow to do it on their own without sharing, if the odds went exactly as they are there...

Probably... no one else do that...

It made me sad.
 
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They added the villagers, but I don't see stitches anywhere. ;(

You probably aren't high enough level, they didn't give them all to everyone at once, they're based on your levels. Stitches is probably a high lv 45+ animal. I would check on mine but my internet is playing up of all times lol

- - - Post Merge - - -

The info above isn't the same rates of the butterflies before:

https://www.reddit.com/r/ACPocketCa...d_part_of_rovers_safari_garden_and_some_math/

"On the second part of the Rover's Garden Safari we'll be introduced a new flower, white dahlia, and two new creatures, winter butterfly and gold winter butterfly, that will spawn only on white dahlias.

The spawn rates and catch rates are as follows:"

Butterfly Spawn rate Catch rate
Winter 35% 40%
Gold Winter 25% 35%

- - - Post Merge - - -

I'm still trying to find out if they really did edit the rates in part 2 based on the feedback before the event ended . So far it's coming up as no change, but i'm still researching, bare with me!

- - - Post Merge - - -

I wasn't aware of this:

"As for gaining Gold Winter Butterflies, the more times a player goes through a full cycle of Rover's tasks, the more likely they are to come across a Gold Winter Butterfly."

Apparently there was no change mid way through to edit the rates, it was the same throughout. However, the more you went through a cycle of rover's tasks the more likely you would capture a butterfly (unsure what they mean by cycle though, perhaps the task 1-1,1-2)

Gold winter rates:

1 Cycle?5.5 percent
2 Cycles?49.66 percent
3 Cycles?88.84 percent
4 Cycles?98.82 percent
5 Cycles?99.92 percent
6 Cycles?99.99 percent
7 Cycles?100 percent
8 Cycles?100 percent

- - - Post Merge - - -

As you can see from above, they haven't changed the final part of lotties event to have better spawn rates, but they have significantly increased the catch rate, white winters were 40% catch rate and the purple bats are 53% catch rate (13% increase) whilst the gold winters were 35% catch rate and the gold bats are 48% (13% increase).

You can conclude that nintendo have uped catch rates by 13% across the board.
 
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Sir / madam, I applaud your research. Finally an answer on the butterfly capture rates.

As for the cycle though I dont think that was correct. I am certain that after completing the event myself my capture rate was not 100% on gold butterflies. I finished a day early and was still trying to catch for some people on here, and I remember the RNG was being particularly vindictive toward me that last day.

So certainly what you theorise there is not the definition of a cycle. I wonder what was though... Number of times you see Rover? And hence, number of times you share? So, after every 7th and 8th share guarantees a catch? Maybe not. That could be manipulated... for example, sharing 8 butterflies but clicking finish after each one.

Alternatively, I bet it isnt 100% capture rate. I bet it was 100% of the 35%.

So for every 8 times you saw Rover you didnt have a chance in hell of catching the next gold butterfly you saw.
 
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I agree with you lol I was just saying to my friend, no way was the catch rate 100% by the end of it. I think they may be referring to the cycle of villagers but even then it just doesn't make sense.

That info was just what I pulled from reddit.
 
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No, of course, I tried to word it very carefully that I wasnt attacking you for stating it as fact. I understood you were simply citing other sources. If it came across any other way I didnt mean it to.
 
No, of course, I tried to word it very carefully that I wasnt attacking you for stating it as fact. I understood you were simply citing other sources. If it came across any other way I didnt mean it to.

Oh it's fine xD I didn't see it as an attack. But yea that part 2 changes, guess we'll never know if it happened or not lol it's one of those things some people feel like it's true some it's not
 
Oh it's fine xD I didn't see it as an attack. But yea that part 2 changes, guess we'll never know if it happened or not lol it's one of those things some people feel like it's true some it's not

Im pretty sure Im the one that started that rumour. I think I might be doing more damage to this community than good...

I was sincere in my belief at the time? My faith faltered as I continued to play though...
 
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Im pretty sure Im the one that started that rumour. I think I might be doing more damage to this community than good...

I was sincere in my belief at the time? My faith faltered as I continued to play though...

It's all your fault amirite
 
the event items look cool, probably will not be able to get them all.
i dislike almost all the new hip stuff :/ oh well.
 
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