Mafia The Hunger Games Mafia - Game Thread - Endgame - Mafia + Survivor Win

[MapleSilver]

1. I think there's a definite possibility he could be scum. I'm not sure I like how his claim has simply been accepted without question by a large amount of people. Could be a survivor strat though, since his lynch isn't even really on the table which is obviously the last thing surv wants to happen.

2. Right now everyone's just a big null to me.

3. Rune, if I absolutely had to. I was originally very sus of you, but I'm not sure a scum would ever want to keep the detective alive like that.

 

[Dolby]

Come on dolby ease up a little bit youve been serious the whole game

If Rune is SK, I'm pretty close to solving the game

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1. I think there's a definite possibility he could be scum. I'm not sure I like how his claim has simply been accepted without question by a large amount of people. Could be a survivor strat though, since his lynch isn't even really on the table which is obviously the last thing surv wants to happen.

2. Right now everyone's just a big null to me.

3. Rune, if I absolutely had to. I was originally very sus of you, but I'm not sure a scum would ever want to keep the detective alive like that.

Holy ****

Rune SK Maple maf. Other maf is ??? but not Calamity

If Glow isn't BSing I've solved the game

 

[Ghostkid]

If Rune is SK, I'm pretty close to solving the game

Then get to work OH SO GLORIOUS BUS DRIVER. Ill just keep everyones stress down with jokes and drawings

 

[Dolby]

Ok, posting this for the purpose of being before something I'm gonna merge. Glow needs to confirm if there's an SK because I think I got scum if that's the case. That post by Silver is just screaming "I know Rune is SK" right now, but I want confirmation from Glow going through this

Also, disclaimer, I did not delete anything I already wrote in my post to give people a look into my thought process

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Hi, I'm here yes the game has more people than just Gavin. Tbh, kinda tempted to refer to the replacements by their slot number

Let's start with the obvious, Glow's slot(having replaced Farobi) probably doesn't bus in a situation where they lose 1 KP from the lynch on day 2. It's 99% town

yoooo sorry guys i skimmed my PM and didn?t notice that I WAS HIT LAST NIGHT lol

so KP never went down and this opens the possibilities to

1. rune being hostile

2. five starting mafia

3. egg brained vig

Please, please don't Heyden right now. Gimme a straight answer, egg-brained vig is completely out of question, so is five mafia, so our you Heydening or is Rune SK

Curry's prob being replaced/modkilled. If he himself comes in midday after not speaking for 96 hours, I want him dead. However, lynching him would be a complete waste at this point

Rune is surv/SK, if Glow isn't ****ing with us we actually have to lynch him for what should be obvious reasons, unless you assume that 11v2v1v1 is true which I see as completely infeasible. Regardless, I am highly confident that there were 3 mafia to start, meaning that KP probably dropped during the Dedenne lynch. This leaves us with two options

1. Rune is SK, and he's been killing each night. I really don't see Rune or Kat urging Rune to do this, but of the scenarios, this is the most plausible where Glow isn't reaction testing
2. ILY shot Philemon N1 (I don't see her shooting Punchy) and the mafia have a mafia vig role specifically. I say mafia vig because PUNCHY WAS SHOT AND HEALED N1, which takes a strongarm role completely out of question, since any mafia if they wanted to kill Punchy would've strongarmed him if given the oppertunity
3. 11v2v1v1 with the mafia holding only one KP with the following kill sources. N1 Punchy and ILY each shot by maf or SK, Philemon shot by ILY. N2 is pretty obvious. Kinda made this as a thought experiment as if Glow was actually shot by somebody (besides an stupid vig, but I honestly have a hard time imagining that bad of play so far). Would be pretty bad for Rune honestly because his claim would be ****ed by the kills each night
4. Glow's Heydening, yeah, if she is I'm kinda ruining here reaction test, but it's been a pretty long time and it hasn't worked, and if she is it's high time she admits to it because she's endangering Rune

But one thing that I know about Rune is that he's not mafia, so if Glow isn't reaction testing I want to lynch him. But for the purposes of my scumhunt I am leaving out of the pool

This leaves: Ghost, Calamity, Evan, Cleb, and Silver, two of which are mafia if Curry is innocent

Silver as a mafia slot with Rune as SK would actually be a really interesting and surprisingly feasible alignmentread looking back. Scum have probably known that there's an SK since N1 if that's true, which would lead to Silver knowing that Rune is SK in this scenario, leading to her vote on Runeraider yesterday, wanting the towncred if it went through, not changing it to Calamity because she wasn't online at EOD2 and didn't want to take flak. This same line could be extended to Antonio/Cleb and his weird votes yesterday (Rune and Punchy), but Antonio was online at EOD2 and notably didn't go after Calamity at any point, the natural mafia stance for him in that position, leaving a Cleb/Calimity team in that case, but given that Cleb is voting Calamity right now I really doubt that scenario is feasible

Evan's vote on Calamity yesterday is sus as **** given that it was THE ONLY competeting wagon with Dedenne, and him the only remaining proponent of it, and if Glow admits to bull****ting, I'll be on him today(assuming Curry doesn't come back). And yes, I know the post that I made during N2 about the different scenarios if Calamity is town and if he's mafia, but honestly, maf would have found a better wagon because there's either a. bussing of Dedenne, and I'm the only person who would bus on that list (besides Calamity in that scenario again) or b. Calamity would have tried to build support for a different wagon besides his teammates.

Written after Silver's post

Alright, I was going to address other people, but yeah, I think I broke the game. Silver's response makes me feel pretty confident that she knows that Rune is SK and I'm honestly astounded that Glow isn't rxn testing and that Rune has been killing but w/e, and this sudden turnaround from thinking Glow's BSing to relying on it to pursue Silver is discongruous with the rest of my post, but her answers bleed scum. The answer to the first question is trying to put sus on Rune while hiding the fact that she knows his role. The third question is simply a matter of her wanting him out the way because she sees him as a threat. I'm pretty confident that Silver voted Rune yesterday knowing this and again. I'm operating under teh occam's razor of scenario 1 being true here, but I really don't see 11v2v1v1, or a vig.

This leaves me with who Silver's teammate could be. It's not Antonio because she voted him D1 in that really close vote. This leaves Ghost, Calamity, and Evan in my view, assuming Curry is getting modkilled

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Ok, I've actually ran ahead of myself here, but I think that this is a pretty solid read if Glow isn't rxn testing and if she is it's important that she reveal that

 

[Ghostkid]

Ok, posting this for the purpose of being before something I'm gonna merge. Glow needs to confirm if there's an SK because I think I got scum if that's the case. That post by Silver is just screaming "I know Rune is SK" right now, but I want confirmation from Glow going through this

Also, disclaimer, I did not delete anything I already wrote in my post to give people a look into my thought process

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Hi, I'm here yes the game has more people than just Gavin. Tbh, kinda tempted to refer to the replacements by their slot number

Let's start with the obvious, Glow's slot(having replaced Farobi) probably doesn't bus in a situation where they lose 1 KP from the lynch on day 2. It's 99% town



Please, please don't Heyden right now. Gimme a straight answer, egg-brained vig is completely out of question, so is five mafia, so our you Heydening or is Rune SK

Curry's prob being replaced/modkilled. If he himself comes in midday after not speaking for 96 hours, I want him dead. However, lynching him would be a complete waste at this point

Rune is surv/SK, if Glow isn't ****ing with us we actually have to lynch him for what should be obvious reasons, unless you assume that 11v2v1v1 is true which I see as completely infeasible. Regardless, I am highly confident that there were 3 mafia to start, meaning that KP probably dropped during the Dedenne lynch. This leaves us with two options

1. Rune is SK, and he's been killing each night. I really don't see Rune or Kat urging Rune to do this, but of the scenarios, this is the most plausible where Glow isn't reaction testing
2. ILY shot Philemon N1 (I don't see her shooting Punchy) and the mafia have a mafia vig role specifically. I say mafia vig because PUNCHY WAS SHOT AND HEALED N1, which takes a strongarm role completely out of question, since any mafia if they wanted to kill Punchy would've strongarmed him if given the oppertunity
3. 11v2v1v1 with the mafia holding only one KP with the following kill sources. N1 Punchy and ILY each shot by maf or SK, Philemon shot by ILY. N2 is pretty obvious. Kinda made this as a thought experiment as if Glow was actually shot by somebody (besides an stupid vig, but I honestly have a hard time imagining that bad of play so far). Would be pretty bad for Rune honestly because his claim would be ****ed by the kills each night
4. Glow's Heydening, yeah, if she is I'm kinda ruining here reaction test, but it's been a pretty long time and it hasn't worked, and if she is it's high time she admits to it because she's endangering Rune

But one thing that I know about Rune is that he's not mafia, so if Glow isn't reaction testing I want to lynch him. But for the purposes of my scumhunt I am leaving out of the pool

This leaves: Ghost, Calamity, Evan, Cleb, and Silver, two of which are mafia if Curry is innocent

Silver as a mafia slot with Rune as SK would actually be a really interesting and surprisingly feasible alignmentread looking back. Scum have probably known that there's an SK since N1 if that's true, which would lead to Silver knowing that Rune is SK in this scenario, leading to her vote on Runeraider yesterday, wanting the towncred if it went through, not changing it to Calamity because she wasn't online at EOD2 and didn't want to take flak. This same line could be extended to Antonio/Cleb and his weird votes yesterday (Rune and Punchy), but Antonio was online at EOD2 and notably didn't go after Calamity at any point, the natural mafia stance for him in that position, leaving a Cleb/Calimity team in that case, but given that Cleb is voting Calamity right now I really doubt that scenario is feasible

Evan's vote on Calamity yesterday is sus as **** given that it was THE ONLY competeting wagon with Dedenne, and him the only remaining proponent of it, and if Glow admits to bull****ting, I'll be on him today(assuming Curry doesn't come back). And yes, I know the post that I made during N2 about the different scenarios if Calamity is town and if he's mafia, but honestly, maf would have found a better wagon because there's either a. bussing of Dedenne, and I'm the only person who would bus on that list (besides Calamity in that scenario again) or b. Calamity would have tried to build support for a different wagon besides his teammates.

Written after Silver's post

Alright, I was going to address other people, but yeah, I think I broke the game. Silver's response makes me feel pretty confident that she knows that Rune is SK and I'm honestly astounded that Glow isn't rxn testing and that Rune has been killing but w/e, and this sudden turnaround from thinking Glow's BSing to relying on it to pursue Silver is discongruous with the rest of my post, but her answers bleed scum. The answer to the first question is trying to put sus on Rune while hiding the fact that she knows his role. The third question is simply a matter of her wanting him out the way because she sees him as a threat. I'm pretty confident that Silver voted Rune yesterday knowing this and again. I'm operating under teh occam's razor of scenario 1 being true here, but I really don't see 11v2v1v1, or a vig.

This leaves me with who Silver's teammate could be. It's not Antonio because she voted him D1 in that really close vote. This leaves Ghost, Calamity, and Evan in my view, assuming Curry is getting modkilled

Would it make it easier if i clamied dolby?

 

[Dolby]

Would it make it easier if i clamied dolby?

Nah, unless Glow comes back saying that she was reaction testing, I think we don't need to massclaim

Ok, running through some scenarios. I want to know if Curry is going to be replaced or not before I vote

 

[amazonevan19]

sorry guys I lost a lot of motivation to play cuz of all the replacements and irl business. I'm catching up rn

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wait glow got hit tf

so she's vet?

 

[Dolby]

sorry guys I lost a lot of motivation to play cuz of all the replacements and irl business. I'm catching up rn

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wait glow got hit tf

so she's vet?

Or reaction testing, but if she isn't I think I got the game on lock

 

[amazonevan19]

Or reaction testing, but if she isn't I think I got the game on lock

hmm intriguing. I just read your big post and am gonna reread it again to try and digest it all

glow has fakeclaimed/rxn tested like that before so I wouldn't be surprised but we'll see I guess

 

[Ghostkid]

I shall be sleepingvnjw good night good friends

 

[amazonevan19]

guess there isn't much about curry after all lmao, another modkill candidate

tumbleweeds intensify

 

[glow]

Ok, posting this for the purpose of being before something I'm gonna merge. Glow needs to confirm if there's an SK because I think I got scum if that's the case. That post by Silver is just screaming "I know Rune is SK" right now, but I want confirmation from Glow going through this

Also, disclaimer, I did not delete anything I already wrote in my post to give people a look into my thought process

- - - Post Merge - - -

Hi, I'm here yes the game has more people than just Gavin. Tbh, kinda tempted to refer to the replacements by their slot number

Let's start with the obvious, Glow's slot(having replaced Farobi) probably doesn't bus in a situation where they lose 1 KP from the lynch on day 2. It's 99% town



Please, please don't Heyden right now. Gimme a straight answer, egg-brained vig is completely out of question, so is five mafia, so our you Heydening or is Rune SK

Curry's prob being replaced/modkilled. If he himself comes in midday after not speaking for 96 hours, I want him dead. However, lynching him would be a complete waste at this point

Rune is surv/SK, if Glow isn't ****ing with us we actually have to lynch him for what should be obvious reasons, unless you assume that 11v2v1v1 is true which I see as completely infeasible. Regardless, I am highly confident that there were 3 mafia to start, meaning that KP probably dropped during the Dedenne lynch. This leaves us with two options

1. Rune is SK, and he's been killing each night. I really don't see Rune or Kat urging Rune to do this, but of the scenarios, this is the most plausible where Glow isn't reaction testing
2. ILY shot Philemon N1 (I don't see her shooting Punchy) and the mafia have a mafia vig role specifically. I say mafia vig because PUNCHY WAS SHOT AND HEALED N1, which takes a strongarm role completely out of question, since any mafia if they wanted to kill Punchy would've strongarmed him if given the oppertunity
3. 11v2v1v1 with the mafia holding only one KP with the following kill sources. N1 Punchy and ILY each shot by maf or SK, Philemon shot by ILY. N2 is pretty obvious. Kinda made this as a thought experiment as if Glow was actually shot by somebody (besides an stupid vig, but I honestly have a hard time imagining that bad of play so far). Would be pretty bad for Rune honestly because his claim would be ****ed by the kills each night
4. Glow's Heydening, yeah, if she is I'm kinda ruining here reaction test, but it's been a pretty long time and it hasn't worked, and if she is it's high time she admits to it because she's endangering Rune

But one thing that I know about Rune is that he's not mafia, so if Glow isn't reaction testing I want to lynch him. But for the purposes of my scumhunt I am leaving out of the pool

This leaves: Ghost, Calamity, Evan, Cleb, and Silver, two of which are mafia if Curry is innocent

Silver as a mafia slot with Rune as SK would actually be a really interesting and surprisingly feasible alignmentread looking back. Scum have probably known that there's an SK since N1 if that's true, which would lead to Silver knowing that Rune is SK in this scenario, leading to her vote on Runeraider yesterday, wanting the towncred if it went through, not changing it to Calamity because she wasn't online at EOD2 and didn't want to take flak. This same line could be extended to Antonio/Cleb and his weird votes yesterday (Rune and Punchy), but Antonio was online at EOD2 and notably didn't go after Calamity at any point, the natural mafia stance for him in that position, leaving a Cleb/Calimity team in that case, but given that Cleb is voting Calamity right now I really doubt that scenario is feasible

Evan's vote on Calamity yesterday is sus as **** given that it was THE ONLY competeting wagon with Dedenne, and him the only remaining proponent of it, and if Glow admits to bull****ting, I'll be on him today(assuming Curry doesn't come back). And yes, I know the post that I made during N2 about the different scenarios if Calamity is town and if he's mafia, but honestly, maf would have found a better wagon because there's either a. bussing of Dedenne, and I'm the only person who would bus on that list (besides Calamity in that scenario again) or b. Calamity would have tried to build support for a different wagon besides his teammates.

Written after Silver's post

Alright, I was going to address other people, but yeah, I think I broke the game. Silver's response makes me feel pretty confident that she knows that Rune is SK and I'm honestly astounded that Glow isn't rxn testing and that Rune has been killing but w/e, and this sudden turnaround from thinking Glow's BSing to relying on it to pursue Silver is discongruous with the rest of my post, but her answers bleed scum. The answer to the first question is trying to put sus on Rune while hiding the fact that she knows his role. The third question is simply a matter of her wanting him out the way because she sees him as a threat. I'm pretty confident that Silver voted Rune yesterday knowing this and again. I'm operating under teh occam's razor of scenario 1 being true here, but I really don't see 11v2v1v1, or a vig.

This leaves me with who Silver's teammate could be. It's not Antonio because she voted him D1 in that really close vote. This leaves Ghost, Calamity, and Evan in my view, assuming Curry is getting modkilled

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Ok, I've actually ran ahead of myself here, but I think that this is a pretty solid read if Glow isn't rxn testing and if she is it's important that she reveal that

not rxn testing, srs about the hit

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i don't really understand why rune would out as vivor d1 with KP though

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what about a driver

 

[Dolby]

not rxn testing, srs about the hit

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i don't really understand why rune would out as vivor d1 with KP though

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what about a driver

What do you mean by a driver
I do agree though, it’s weird for Rune to our D1 and kill

 

[illunie]

driver makes no sense for sure

theres still the possibility of there being a weird maf alligned role which is causing this assuming glow isnt lying (looking at kaylas role theres a lot of potential weirdness here)
kat said there was a mafia role called a drug dealer (a maf alligned role which can send a fake action pm to one person a night) who couldve been the one sending the hit pms to glow and punchy. the alternative is that town has two separate doctors, which doesnt rly make sense to me. mafia could be trying to frame me as an sk for trying to kill ppl during the night.

either way, i have basically no incentive to kill either punchy or farobi/glow, so it doesnt make sense for me to hit either of them. if punchy inspected me i would be cleared as tp and lose a lot of suspicion, and farobi strongly believed i was a tp, even going as far to say he wanted to lynch me lylo as revenge. y would i want either of them dead? theyre both def maf alligned hit imo

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so right all of the possibilities as i see it are

-assuming theres a doc

1. theres a bad town vig on a shooting spree rn

2. maf somehow have a consistent source of an extra kp, either through having 5 (this assumes that none of the kills n1 were from town/tp sources) or 4 (this assumes that one of the kills were from a town/tp source) mafia members rather than 3, or one of the mafia roles allows them to kill an extra player at least two nights in a row

3. theres 2 tps, with the one other than me being an sk (prob unlikely but ill still leave it up there)

-no assumptions (other than base stuff like there are other mafia, there are other town, etc)

4. glow is lying about being hit for we reason (prob not but ill leave it up)

5. the reports were faked somehow, either through a drug dealer or a messenger (most likely mafia alligned)

i dont think im missing any (other than me being an sk but ik thats not true so we) but if i think of smth ill make a follow up

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wow i rly miss making actual posts lol, surv is prob not my style

 

[calamitybot]

1. I think there's a definite possibility he could be scum. I'm not sure I like how his claim has simply been accepted without question by a large amount of people. Could be a survivor strat though, since his lynch isn't even really on the table which is obviously the last thing surv wants to happen.

2. Right now everyone's just a big null to me.

3. Rune, if I absolutely had to. I was originally very sus of you, but I'm not sure a scum would ever want to keep the detective alive like that.

You've been flighty this entire game, not wanting to accuse anybody of anything and just falling back on killing Rune when anybody points out your silence. There is no way that you don't have any suspicions of anybody right now. Due to your silence throughout this game, it makes me think you're mafia. I'm voting for you until you can explain to me your silence and neutrality.

I literally just replaced last night I'm not some machine that can magically catch up on everything instantly lol

Seriously? That's another weak excuse. Voting to lynch me just because of some semantics without taking into account the history of this game is just making you look worse. Dig up some actual evidence that I may be scum if you want to convince others to vote for me.

 

[xCleb]

Seriously? That's another weak excuse. Voting to lynch me just because of some semantics without taking into account the history of this game is just making you look worse. Dig up some actual evidence that I may be scum if you want to convince others to vote for me.

Can you read

@Rune - The beauty of being able to kill whoever you want is that you don't need incentive to kill somebody; you just kind of do it. Saying that you have no incentive to kill someone puts you in the same situation that I called Cal out for earlier -- it doesn't make you look Town, only uncertain.

Also, your discounting of the possibility of a SK is quite worrisome. We don't know if it's a SK or a VG, and even in your position as a claimed SV, you have zero reason to discount either possibility to any degree, unless you're flat out lying about it and want people to look a certain direction to save your ass for another Day or two.

 

[amazonevan19]

I'm down for a maple, cal, or rune lynch though rune is not a priority for me at all because I still believe him...I'm just leaving the possibility out there

 

[Dolby]

I'm down for a maple, cal, or rune lynch though rune is not a priority for me at all because I still believe him...I'm just leaving the possibility out there

How do you feel about Cala voting Silver right now, considering you still SL him and you voted Cal yesterday?

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Eh, right now I consider Silvers reluctance to TL anybody as a scumtell if anything, regardless of the status on Rune in relation to the kills

 

[cornimer]

End of Day is in less than 9 hours. I will not be here then but Ryumia will be helping out and posting the results, please listen to whatever she says

 

[calamitybot]

I'm down for a maple, cal, or rune lynch though rune is not a priority for me at all because I still believe him...I'm just leaving the possibility out there

why do you want to kill me so much

Can you read

Voting for my lynch because of a few poorly-worded sentences and refusing to read the whole thread doesn't make you look very good. You're not going to persuade anybody else to lynch me unless you come up with some substantial reasoning. Or, you could be trying to egg me on until I act in a certain scummy way, convincing everybody that I'm wrongfully mafia. Either way, you need more proof that I'm scum in order to get votes.