DO NOT LISTEN TO TOM. He is third party and does NOT count in town's numbers.
Depending on how many scum there are, town can be in auto loss if Vig doesn't hit scum tonight and Xerolin gets modkilled.
The game started off with 22 players. Five are dead = 17. Scum KP can be assumed to be 2, which means 3-4 scum. Tom counts as scum. So there are potentially 5 scum alive, and at least 4 (including Tom).
If there are 4 scum (3 mafia): There are 13 town. KP is HOPEFULLY 2, so we will be down to 11 D3. Which is MYLO assuming Tom will side with mafia.
If there are 5 (4 mafia) we are ****ed if Vig doesn't hit mafia tonight. There are 12 town. Down to 10 D3. Which is auto loss if Tom sides with mafia. Xerolin CAN'T be modkilled or none of this matters and its auto loss.