Mafia Xenoblade Chronicles Mafia-Endgame

Well, that didn't go well as I thought it would. Anyway, I'd like to get this off my chest because it's really annoying me how I'm being accused of being inactive or lurking the thread, it's not my fault I can't be on as much lately. I used to be more active in other games simply because it was during break OR I didn't have mid semester assessments due and tests all in a span of a couple of weeks. Yes, i know many are irritated by the lack of activity from most users but I'm trying my best. And when I do have that spare time to come on, basically everyone is asleep because I'm on the other side of the world, ffs. I'll get some reads up tomorrow hopefully, not really in the mood for sht
 
DO NOT LISTEN TO TOM. He is third party and does NOT count in town's numbers.

Depending on how many scum there are, town can be in auto loss if Vig doesn't hit scum tonight and Xerolin gets modkilled.

The game started off with 22 players. Five are dead = 17. Scum KP can be assumed to be 2, which means 3-4 scum. Tom counts as scum. So there are potentially 5 scum alive, and at least 4 (including Tom).

If there are 4 scum (3 mafia): There are 13 town. KP is HOPEFULLY 2, so we will be down to 11 D3. Which is MYLO assuming Tom will side with mafia.

If there are 5 (4 mafia) we are ****ed if Vig doesn't hit mafia tonight. There are 12 town. Down to 10 D3. Which is auto loss if Tom sides with mafia. Xerolin CAN'T be modkilled or none of this matters and its auto loss.

Oh. Wait, ****. I messed that up entirely. When I said "10 left" I forgot that I counted scum out already. I have been so out of it lately. Why didn't any of you guys tell me I can't math.
 
Why not a bit a both?

In the grand scheme of things, do I count towards town's numbers being a neutral third party?
If there is non hostile third party, they would count as neutral. If in a situation where it was 1 town, 1 survivor, and 1 Mafia, Mafia would equal town and win since survivors don't count toward the number. They don't count toward Mafia numbers either, they're just there.
 
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Oh. Wait, ****. I messed that up entirely. When I said "10 left" I forgot that I counted scum out already. I have been so out of it lately. Why didn't any of you guys tell me I can't math.

ARE YOU ****ING KIDDING ME! so i replied on your post, and i thought we were at our wicks end. good job.
 
I think there is scum on the inkling wagon but I'm not sure who. Maybe MoaL?

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Or Dolby or Cadberry?
 
DO NOT LISTEN TO TOM. He is third party and does NOT count in town's numbers.

Depending on how many scum there are, town can be in auto loss if Vig doesn't hit scum tonight and Xerolin gets modkilled.

The game started off with 22 players. Five are dead = 17. Scum KP can be assumed to be 2, which means 3-4 scum. Tom counts as scum. So there are potentially 5 scum alive, and at least 4 (including Tom).

If there are 4 scum (3 mafia): There are 13 town. KP is HOPEFULLY 2, so we will be down to 11 D3. Which is MYLO assuming Tom will side with mafia.

If there are 5 (4 mafia) we are ****ed if Vig doesn't hit mafia tonight. There are 12 town. Down to 10 D3. Which is auto loss if Tom sides with mafia. Xerolin CAN'T be modkilled or none of this matters and its auto loss.

Oh. Wait, ****. I messed that up entirely. When I said "10 left" I forgot that I counted scum out already. I have been so out of it lately. Why didn't any of you guys tell me I can't math.

I'm thinking we're looking at a 5-man (now 4) mafia team. And I think 7 town PRs based on the theme, and we're down two already. So based on the information taesaek brought forward about Alexi it looks like (underline = confirmed) Jailer/Watcher/Bus Driver/Doctor/Veteran/Cop/Vigilante. That'd be pretty OP in a 22-player game that also has a hostile third party, so I can imagine a 5-man mafia team being a way of balancing that out. Then Tom floating about on his own little cloud ofc.

Cory, does this sound about right to you?
 
The characters match up with the roles well. Except bus driver. It does not make sense.

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I wasn't done with that post. Thanks TBT
 
Do you think it's more likely a bus driver (or redirector?) would be mafia-aligned in this set-up then?
 
Since vanea is in the game, I am assuming fiora is also in the game becuase they appear at around the same point. (Well fiora comes back at that point)
She might be veteran. But then what would reyn be?
Unless there are 2 vets which I don't think will happen. Maybe there are 2 vigs. But I do not see any blue role being a bus driver.

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There is one other possibility but I do not want to say what it is right now.
 
I think there is scum on the inkling wagon but I'm not sure who. Maybe MoaL?

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Or Dolby or Cadberry?

I started the vote on inkling, I don't think I was on any wagon to lynch him, just using my opinions of his activity to lynch him. My guess is Mother and Dolby, Dolby being incredibly silent and lurking only and Mother never being active but when posting just jumping on the band wagon vote with the most people. I also have a high sus of Nightmares, there have been just a sequence of town slips that looks so cheesy I can taste it, even if they weren't as active in other games this is still game three for them and the amount of basic questions coming in high sequence looks very false to me.
 
I'm just spitting out possibilities because it seems like no one else wants to help.
 
I would love to hear some opinions from Ares and Ash, they haven't posted on here since 5/10, I would like some reads or an explanations on D3 or some of your opinions on the events going on at the moment.
 
Dolby you have been on this thread for 2 hours and have posted nothing.
 
If Ares has a important role they could be doc/vig.

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WHY WOULD YOU SAY THAT
WHY WOULD YOU THINK THAT'S A GOOD IDEA
 
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