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Mafia TBT Mafia III: The Murder Before Christmas [Game Over/Town Win]

I'm not entirely convinced of it. I'm also not convinced of anybody at this point, mostly because nobody has really posted all too much.

Actually, Kippla hit 100 posts.
Although her posts are pretty good for 100 and at least most of them contribute. Some players have posted less but contributing and some more with spam.
 
Well, someone wants me dead apparently.
I'd like to confirm that I'm a target, and have been shot.
I'm hoping these were Mafia kills and not wasted blue actions.

Fireninja really? The only thing he ever did was vote for himself as a place holder and called out Blu Rose for one post:
Also, Tsundere, I am an awful player. I am just going to shut up. I jumped to a conclusion too quickly, and am over debate right now. Sorry... Completely ignore my posts! I didn't mean to be stupid!
This post also screams mafia to me. Apologies do nothing for us on Day 1, and makes it easier for him/her to be marked off as unimportant. Isn't that what a mafia would want to do?

All KerryElizabeth did was talk about the election. Uncertain who to vote for but went for Karla I believe.

Gandalf wasn't much of a poster, but a skilled, thoughtful player. He was the one I was most upset about getting killed of the three. The only thing that comes to mind with him was he was against the River lynch. He advise the town to stay independent and to not be blinded and secure just because we have two experienced elected roles.
 
Agreed, it isn't entirely convincing, but i think that this is are best lead and we should follow it AFTER we hear a defense, i think that it's a 70% mafia chance and 30% blue/busdriver
 
Kippla said she wanted to be an Assassin. She said she was disappointed. Chances are, she's a townsperson (Townie, Blue, or Black) or Mafia. She said it was a fun and useful role, so I'm not convinced with the Townie claim.
 
I'm talking about oath2order's post

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I'm a bit disappointed :C
It wasn't what I wanted, but it's still fun :D

I know that this is outlandish, but based off this post i'm going to assume that beary is a assasian and not mafia if we find any suspicious posts by her in the future

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because she said that she didn't want to be a assasian
 
The deaths of FN1 and Kerry are a shock to be honest (more so in the case of the former). Could it have been a vigilante / assassin shot who thought they were suspicious, and that two (or more) medics saved the right people from a Mafia hit? I think it is time to take a look back at their posts, and find possible connections.

Yeah, it's possible. But I'd like to think that the vigs would've followed Kayla's gameplan and posted their shot before night ended. Beside, what two people would really have been protected/been veterans then?

I hope whoever the fourth kill was directed at speaks up about it whether in the thread or through PMs.

I'm going to bed, and I've only got like one or two hours to be for the next three days. As of now, I am curious as to why Kerry and FireNinja were killed. I don't even remember tem posting anything to really make them a threat.

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Never mind, under Laurina has spoken up.

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I see* not under
 
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LaurinaMN, are you claiming as a Veteran? Or were you protected and sent a PM?
 
Ffs I'm still awake. I'm not happy with Laurina openly claiming vet, was hoping to leave the Mafia uncertain if she was saved or was vet.
She's either telling the truth, or mafia intentionally withheld kp here. I would say smart mafia would never withhold overpowered 4kp on the first night. Laurina actually being vet is also the simplest and therefore most likely explanation here too.
 
Ffs I'm still awake. I'm not happy with Laurina openly claiming vet, was hoping to leave the Mafia uncertain if she was saved or was vet.
She's either telling the truth, or mafia intentionally withheld kp here. I would say smart mafia would never withhold overpowered 4kp on the first night. Laurina actually being vet is also the simplest and therefore most likely explanation here too.

I intended to leave it that I was a target during the night. Justin asked me if I was claiming to be a Vet or saved. It was direct, there wasn't really a way around the question for me to avoid giving up my role. I'm sure I could have taken some thought before jumping on in answering. Overly tired and finding out I was a target may have put me over the edge. I was hesitant at coming forth about being a target at all, but since the other three deaths didn't give much to go off of, I thought mine my help out along side with it.
 
Alright so, my thoughts on the day post... Just a warning, I'm sure I'll be repeating what others have said to some degree here, there's only so much to say.

First... the deaths.

Why only 3? Well, Laurina claims apparently that she was shot as a Veteran taking the 4th hit. Not saying I don't believe her, but I am curious if anyone else comes on with any other information too. Honestly, the whole death list is puzzling. I understand Gandalf and Laurina, remember that my Mafia team last game killed both of them on the first night, but why FireNinja and Kerryelizabeth? They aren't the worst choices, but surely there are better. I am personally surprised that quite a few other better players weren't targeted. Is this on purpose to try to incriminate/frame those players? Are those players actually mafia themselves? Were bad players targeted on purpose to make us assume the mafia is incompetent? Lots to think about.

Maybe the mafia were trying to frame Klinkguin to help them get lynched today, as I did notice an odd movement during the night of some players still bringing Klinkguin back up for lynch for some reason. Kerryelizabeth did have this post targeting them:

I have to say, personally, my FOS points to Klinkguin. She says she has been an observer of the game instead of a participant, and yet whenever I check the people viewing, she's never actually viewing it whatsoever. Also, she seemed to really try and avoid answering any of our questions until completely and utterly pushed to do so. She's posting one liners more often than not, and also cast her vote with no reason whatsoever. Saying "I was observing the thread" doesn't explain WHY she voted for who she did. So at the moment, my FOS is cast on her.

FireNinja didn't contribute much yesterday. The only thing he really did was call out Blu Rose as scum:

This post also screams mafia to me. Apologies do nothing for us on Day 1, and makes it easier for him/her to be marked off as unimportant. Isn't that what a mafia would want to do?

Annoyingly, we get barely any information out of the votes after these deaths. FireNinja voted for himself, Gandalf didn't even vote at all, and kerryelizabeth voted for Karla.

Now, enough about today's deaths. I want to talk about what's happened already during this Day. Dolby has been acting very strange the past couple of hours. She starts off the day almost immediately calling out Kippla:

I have one suspicion for who is mafia and that is based entirely off of
THIS

The mafia would've suspected Kippla of having a blue role a long time and killed him last night. I believe that there is a chance that Kippla is a blue role or town, but I highly doubt that.

Honestly, I think this 'evidence' is near meaningless. The Kippla post in question comes from all the way back to before the game even officially started. Just while the roles were being sent out. Just because she didn't die from that post really doesn't mean anything. In fact, I think it's likely the Mafia didn't even see that post! I know I didn't see it! In fact, if anything, we've probably just pointed out to the mafia that Kippla is blue and to kill her tomorrow night! Why do you highly doubt that she's blue anyway? Why must she be mafia?

Agreed, it isn't entirely convincing, but i think that this is are best lead and we should follow it AFTER we hear a defense, i think that it's a 70% mafia chance and 30% blue/busdriver

I like Dolby how said multiple times that we should be careful and wait for her defense first. Then she voted for her anyway. And again, why so certain that Kippla is scum and not blue? Wot. Do she know something else we don't know?

Dolby just seems to be in a bit too much of a rush to get someone out there and accused IMO. Keeping an eye on her.
 
That all being said, I eagerly await hopefully more information from others later in the day. I have a suspicion to share myself a bit later with a couple other players I've been talking to.
 
That all being said, I eagerly await hopefully more information from others later in the day. I have a suspicion to share myself a bit later with a couple other players I've been talking to.

Are you going to share the suspicion? It'd be a nice to have something to go off of :/

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I mean, as it stands, we have suspicious-as-**** Dolby and maybe-blue-maybe-red-Kippla.
 
I would just like to say that I do have interest in the game. I just don't really mind if I do get lynched because it's not going to help anyone in any way. I would still like to participate.
 
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