Mafia TBT Micro Mafia: High Risk High Reward - Night 2

[Arstotzkan]

Jacob, say you shooting would auto result in you shooting a townie. Would you shoot?

 

[Chrystina]

this is my first time actually reading this game, sry kat
im just waiting for night LOL

no sorry, I'm still reading it all



you can vote me if u want idc

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def shooting tonight thats the only reason i signed up

Um ok so I read back and still no leads. I'd be fine with a Heyden, Inkling or Alexi lynch tho.

Usually when heyden is town he like tries to claim maf and he hasnt done that thus far so i call bull

omg
really jacob. idk if he's like terrorist having fun and being obvious ... or what

but it's interesting. like so obviously interesting i don't think I have to explain

 

[inkling]

Jacob, say you shooting would auto result in you shooting a townie. Would you shoot?

def shooting tonight thats the only reason i signed up

Um ok so I read back and still no leads. I'd be fine with a Heyden, Inkling or Alexi lynch tho.

Usually when heyden is town he like tries to claim maf and he hasnt done that thus far so i call bull

*italic answers question in first quote.

* jacob justifies a heyden lynch, but not for me or alexi. Somebody mentioned we might be T vs T so maybe thats why he's going for that. just trying to fill in the blanks

 

[Jacob]

Jacob, say you shooting would auto result in you shooting a townie. Would you shoot?

nah but we each have a 22% scum hit rate (except scum who has 11%) so if each town member (as of right now) shoots a different person there is like a 65% chance we are hitting scum one tonight. like 20% chance we hit both
If we lynch a town member, we actually have a higher percentage rate assuming we all dont shoot eachother in a circle.
If we lynch maf then we have about 45% chance of killing the other one tonight if 5 town members shoot different people
of course we could always let one of the town not shoot which lowers our scum hit rate but heightens our town survival rate if you want
but the mafia has like a 85% hit rate of town no matter what so i guess its ur call if we all shoot tonight. its a yolo kinda thing. im actually fairly excited

 

[inkling]

sorry why my post was weird, i guess ignore where i say italic but hopefully you still get the point

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nah but we each have a 22% scum hit rate (except scum who has 11%) so if each town member (as of right now) shoots a different person there is like a 65% chance we are hitting scum one tonight. like 20% chance we hit both
If we lynch a town member, we actually have a higher percentage rate assuming we all dont shoot eachother in a circle.
If we lynch maf then we have about 45% chance of killing the other one tonight if 5 town members shoot different people
of course we could always let one of the town not shoot which lowers our scum hit rate but heightens our town survival rate if you want
but the mafia has like a 85% hit rate of town no matter what so i guess its ur call if we all shoot tonight. its a yolo kinda thing. im actually fairly excited

you previously stated you were definitely shooting tonight in your reply to heyden. in your reply to sarsakat, you say that you're not going to shoot. at the same time you throw statistics at trying to show the different possibilities.

-if your reply to sarsakat is true, why did you change your mind? could you please explain?

-also, if this reply is true, why did you show us the statistics. what is your point? do you think we should shoot or not? what exactly is your conclusion after analyzing the data?

 

[Jacob]

you previously stated you were definitely shooting tonight in your reply to heyden. in your reply to sarsakat, you say that you're not going to shoot. at the same time you throw statistics at trying to show the different possibilities.

-if your reply to sarsakat is true, why did you change your mind? could you please explain?

-also, if this reply is true, why did you show us the statistics. what is your point? do you think we should shoot or not? what exactly is your conclusion after analyzing the data?

1. i didnt change my mind i want to shoot tonight. but if salsakat tells me not to then i guess i wont. shes way more experienced than i am
2. idk they could be helpful in decided if everyone should shoot tonight or not

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and personally yes i think we should all shoot, except one of us

 

[inkling]

1. i didnt change my mind i want to shoot tonight. but if salsakat tells me not to then i guess i wont. shes way more experienced than i am
2. idk they could be helpful in decided if everyone should shoot tonight or not

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and personally yes i think we should all shoot, except one of us

so you don't think if the majority of us shoot we would be helping the terrorists?

 

[Chrystina]

yknow.. I say lets do it. obv it's gonna speed up the game and be RISKY but... the title of the game is literally "high risk high reward". aka town wins

 

[Jacob]

so you don't think if the majority of us shoot we would be helping the terrorists?

no but the terrorists arent working together so I dont think it matters as much
Now that I think about it, everyone shooting could be more in favor for the terrorists so:
If we lynch a town member, I think 3 of us should shoot.
If we lynch a mafia member, I think 1 of us should shoot.

 

[inkling]

no but the terrorists arent working together so I dont think it matters as much
Now that I think about it, everyone shooting could be more in favor for the terrorists so:
If we lynch a town member, I think 3 of us should shoot.
If we lynch a mafia member, I think 1 of us should shoot.

but if we lynch somebody n1 (which we should do imo), we won't know if they're terr or vig until day2. That means we can't make a precise decision regarding how many of us shoot. maybe only 1 of us should shoot.

basically, if nobody shoots then 3 ppl will die tonight, assuming both terrorists decide to shoot.

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since the terrorists aren't working together, should we assume they'll both shoot? Or is that not likely?

 

[Chrystina]

no but the terrorists arent working together so I dont think it matters as much
Now that I think about it, everyone shooting could be more in favor for the terrorists so:
If we lynch a town member, I think 3 of us should shoot.
If we lynch a mafia member, I think 1 of us should shoot.

so now who do we lynch is the question.

Im guessing either SarasaKat or Dolby tbh

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but if we lynch somebody n1 (which we should do imo), we won't know if they're terr or vig until day2. That means we can't make a precise decision regarding how many of us shoot. maybe only 1 of us should shoot.

basically, if nobody shoots then 3 ppl will die tonight, assuming both terrorists decide to shoot.

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since the terrorists aren't working together, should we assume they'll both shoot? Or is that not likely?

wait, what? am i misreading or is implying a NL today?

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*are you
not is -_-

 

[Arstotzkan]

@Alexi Why're you thinking me or Dolby? Do you find us suspicious or do you find everyone else inno?

@Jacob I'm honored you trust me, but if you think we should shoot tonight then I say explain why. I'll try to rxplain with data and such once I can type things out on this phone lol

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Oh and @Alexi Inkling sais we should lynch someone D1 right in that quote you quoted soooo

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yknow.. I say lets do it. obv it's gonna speed up the game and be RISKY but... the title of the game is literally "high risk high reward". aka town wins

But that saying doesn't mean you'll auto get a high amount of reward with a high amount of risk. It's a big risk, but if it pays off its a big reward.

 

[Chrystina]

oh wow. yea i see it now
super tired meh

and the reasoning for it being is that you two are the only one who voted so far. Then again that was in the beginning so I'm assuming just a joke/rl. ?
and also yes everyone is idk so throwing a name or two and seeing where that goes.

 

[Arstotzkan]

KOLECHIAN SCUM IS NO JOKE ALEXI B)

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In all seriousness, my POE is Heyden/Minties/Crys/Dolby/Jacob, in desensing order of suspicion.

 

[tae]

KOLECHIAN SCUM IS NO JOKE ALEXI B)

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In all seriousness, my POE is Heyden/Minties/Crys/Dolby/Jacob, in desensing order of suspicion.

did i miss your read on heyden? can you elaborate on that? i can just go back through the thread tho if it's in there.

 

[inkling]

did i miss your read on heyden? can you elaborate on that? i can just go back through the thread tho if it's in there.

Eh, I've got a few suspicions rather than rling or nling that I'd like to bring up:

- Jacob seems to be quiet and stay away from us goofing off. And correct me if I'm wrong, but he seems like the kind who'd love to jump in on that kind of thing. Perhaps he's afraid to talk in the thread?
- Heyden's question raises some red flags for me. Possible that they're asking if they should shoot or not, but also struck me as a terrorist asking if they should base their shooting off of who others are going to shoot.
- Dolby is Kolech scum and his scum game is damn good so perma keeping him here

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Oh, and to answer Heyden's question, depends on if we're actually going to try to win this game or make this game a meme. If we're actually trying, I think we shouldn't shoot.

in #2 SarasaKat is talking about this:

Are we all gonna shoot Night 1 or just let the terroritsts

#3 is obviously a joke and shouldn't be taken into consideration since it began before we got our role pms

 

[inkling]

did i miss your read on heyden? can you elaborate on that? i can just go back through the thread tho if it's in there.

Eh, I've got a few suspicions rather than rling or nling that I'd like to bring up:

- Jacob seems to be quiet and stay away from us goofing off. And correct me if I'm wrong, but he seems like the kind who'd love to jump in on that kind of thing. Perhaps he's afraid to talk in the thread?
- Heyden's question raises some red flags for me. Possible that they're asking if they should shoot or not, but also struck me as a terrorist asking if they should base their shooting off of who others are going to shoot.
- Dolby is Kolech scum and his scum game is damn good so perma keeping him here

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Oh, and to answer Heyden's question, depends on if we're actually going to try to win this game or make this game a meme. If we're actually trying, I think we shouldn't shoot.

in #2 SarasaKat is talking about this:

Are we all gonna shoot Night 1 or just let the terroritsts

#3 is obviously a joke and shouldn't be taken into consideration since it began before we got our role pms

 

[tae]

in #2 SarasaKat is talking about this:

bless ur little black soul, inkling.

 

[inkling]

i personally disagree about Heyden. Crys asked a similar question, if we should nl or rl here:

Rl or nl?

 

[tae]

i personally disagree about Heyden. Crys asked a similar question, if we should nl or rl here:

crys was the first to bring it up i think.