Dolby -unclaimed
Sataric - claimed Tom's Artwork
Ayaya - claimed Hammerer Detective Miller
Trundle - claimed blue, double voter
Runeraider - unclaimed
Lucanosa - claimed vanilla townie
Minties - claimed Roleblocker Neapolitan Detective
Karla - claimed blue, predicts who will be lynched and if right will get a shot to use the next night
Alright, so this is the list of claims - Courtesy of
m3ow_. Is
llama's still alive? I forgot (been really busy this entire game, as I'm sure some of you have noticed..), but according to the first post of the thread, they are. In any case, they are not on the list above, and niether is
m3ow_.
Out of the ten total players remaining,
Runeraider is looking like he might eventually get modkilled (Needs confirmation), and I would suspect that there's 2 Mafia left (based on kills per night) and at least one more third-party role. (Based on the fact that there's only been one flipped so far.) The rest are town.
Based on this, it's entirely possible that everyone currently involved in the
Minties vs
Ayaya vs
M3ow_ showdown could all be innocent - Technically, at least. It might not be very likely, however. But for the sake of not wanting to risk a mislynch, I encourage that we gather as much evidence as possible before we eliminate any of these three since I feel there's far easier and obviously scummier people remaining in play.
Lucanosa is the ONLY person who has claimed Vanilla Townie in the entire game so far and something about the replies they made when called out on how odd that is just doesn't sit right with me.
Trundle and
Karla are the two people that I suspect is the most likely to be either scum or third-party based otherwise.
Dolby is always scum, so we shouldn't forget about him either. Let's take a look at how they have voted in the completed lynches so far:
Lucanosa has voted: Did not vote / Self-voted / Did not vote.
Trundle has voted: Ness / StarryWolf / Minties.
Karla has voted: Ness / Did not vote / Did not vote.
Dolby has voted: Ness / Sataric / Natty.
Based on this information alone, if
Lucanosa is truly a Vanilla Townie who's primary 'power' is their voice and their ability to vote, they're pretty useless..
Trundle has been responsible for two now-confirmed town players deaths, and
Karla and
Dolby for one each, with
Dolby actually voting to kill
Natty on the previous day which is the ONLY vote in the entire bunch between all of these people that benefited us at all. We can also see clearly that
Trundle has cared to vote each day, as have
Dolby, meanwhile
Karla for example seem significantly more disinterested - Whomever dies doesn't seem to concern him as long as he's out of the spotlight himself.
So I think that at least one of
Lucanosa and
Trundle are Mafia (but likely not both as
Lucanosa has voted for
Trundle for today..), I think that
Karla might be third-party, and I think that the last Mafia hiding is either
Dolby or (more likely) one out of
m3ow_,
Minties, or
Ayaya.
Thanks for listening to me ramble. I'll vote for
Trundle today.