Who do you believe will be the next U.S. president?

[Cascade]

I want Trump.

"Make America great again"

 

[Red Cat]

They could be rong. And you shouldn't base it on 1 source and also they could be bias on Hillary.

fivethirtyeight uses actual statistical methods based on polling data from many polls and past elections, not political punditry, so it's not biased. They correctly predicted the winner of all 50 states in 2012 and went 49/50 in 2008. It also did a good job at predicting the primary results. The point of the website is not to advance a political agenda; it's to be correct, and it does a pretty good job at it. I said that they are giving Clinton a 67% chance of winning and Trump a 33% chance, so it's not like they are saying Trump has a snowball's chance in hell. It just means that Clinton is the favorite and Trump is the underdog at 3:1 odds.

And this poll reflects that almost exactly by the way.

 

[Kirbystarship]

fivethirtyeight uses actual statistical methods based on polling data from many polls and past elections, not political punditry, so it's not biased. They correctly predicted the winner of all 50 states in 2012 and went 49/50 in 2008. It also did a good job at predicting the primary results. The point of the website is not to advance a political agenda; it's to be correct, and it does a pretty good job at it. I said that they are giving Clinton a 67% chance of winning and Trump a 33% chance, so it's not like they are saying Trump has a snowball's chance in hell. It just means that Clinton is the favorite and Trump is the underdog at 3:1 odds.

And this poll reflects that almost exactly by the way.

Maybe they will be rong this year.

 

[vel]

hillary. if you want trump to be president you have officially become the only one of the five people that live in usa after he is elected. if you don't live in the usa don't think it'll affect you, can't vote anyways. so i guess ignore this?

 

[Red Cat]

Maybe they will be rong this year.

I think your prediction about the election is as wrong as your spelling.

 

[Kirbystarship]

I think your prediction about the election is as wrong as your spelling.

Why do you think my prediction is rong? Also for people who think trump will be the next president is their prediction rong as well?

 

[Stalfos]

Pretty sure it will be Hillary. There's one thing about her that I really like. She's not Donald Trump.

 

[Kirbystarship]

I think your prediction about the election is as wrong as your spelling.

Also why be so salty about me?

 

[jiny]

I really hope Hillary will win. Anyone but Trump tbh

 

[saehanfox]

fivethirtyeight uses actual statistical methods based on polling data from many polls and past elections, not political punditry, so it's not biased. They correctly predicted the winner of all 50 states in 2012 and went 49/50 in 2008. It also did a good job at predicting the primary results. The point of the website is not to advance a political agenda; it's to be correct, and it does a pretty good job at it. I said that they are giving Clinton a 67% chance of winning and Trump a 33% chance, so it's not like they are saying Trump has a snowball's chance in hell. It just means that Clinton is the favorite and Trump is the underdog at 3:1 odds.

And this poll reflects that almost exactly by the way.

fivethirtyeight has been overtly biased for Hillary and polls don't translate into votes eg Brexit was behind around 10 pts right before refendum
The actual number is ~52% This election is still a toss up and Hillary's approval rating won't get better; even if she is POTUS, she will be impeached within a year because of Republican Congress

 

[MochiACNL]

I'd rather have a dog as president. (╯3╰) A dog would definitely make a better president. Who doesn't like dogs? I also wouldn't mind a cat. Cat's are great too. (/^▽^)/

- - - Post Merge - - -

but if I really had to choose, I would choose Hillary. Even if she has already turned into a meme.

 

[littletwinclouds]

I think Trump will win, and it's a terrifying prospect from an international perspective.
That being said I'm not an American so I'm only seeing things from the outside, I don't know how well they're actually polling.

 

[HungryForCereal]

i dont live in the USA so i dont really care who gets to be president but i hope its hilary clinton anyway. she just seems to be a more appropriate choice than donald trump. i get the impression she knows what shes doing where trump is not using his brain at all.

 

[namiieco]

They both aren't the ideal people but if I had to choose it would be Hillary.

 

[LinkToTheWorld]

I'm guessing that Trump will win, based on all I've seen so far.
Never actually imagined that he would when all this began, though

 

[mintellect]

I'd rather have a dog as president. (╯3╰) A dog would definitely make a better president. Who doesn't like dogs? I also wouldn't mind a cat. Cat's are great too. (/^▽^)/

- - - Post Merge - - -

but if I really had to choose, I would choose Hillary. Even if she has already turned into a meme.

I read an article that said that the mayor of a town in Alaska is actually a cat, and the people claim he's the best mayor they've ever had. That article was pretty old though, so I don't know if that cat is still in office.

Anyway, I think Hillary will win. She's currently leading in the polls.
She's my choice out of our two options as well.

 

[xiaonu]

Obviously Trump-sama. lol jk

I assume Hillary is the lesser of the 2 evils

 

[Kirbystarship]

fivethirtyeight has been overtly biased for Hillary and polls don't translate into votes eg Brexit was behind around 10 pts right before refendum
The actual number is ~52% This election is still a toss up and Hillary's approval rating won't get better; even if she is POTUS, she will be impeached within a year because of Republican Congress

It takes 2/3 of the Senate to impeach. The GOP don't have 2/3 of the senate.

 

[oath2order]

fivethirtyeight has been overtly biased for Hillary and polls don't translate into votes eg Brexit was behind around 10 pts right before refendum
The actual number is ~52% This election is still a toss up and Hillary's approval rating won't get better; even if she is POTUS, she will be impeached within a year because of Republican Congress

Trump's approval rating isn't going to get any better either.

You can impeach a President all you want, but you actually need a reason to. Impeachment goes as follows:

1. House of Representatives files impeachment charges
2. HoR votes on the charges, a majority must vote for the impeachment to become official
3. Senate has the power to try the impeachment like a court
4. Two thirds must vote for conviction
5. If they are convicted, they are fired

Hillary won't be convicted and she won't be impeached.