Oops I should have been more clear. I meant boxes because they just moved in, not boxes from moving out.
In this case, their house will be normal because they will have finished unpacking.
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ok im gonna try this one! i assume i should wait til my new villager unpacks their stuff since otherwise they won't be outside and able to ping? or will new villagers not end up being movers?
You need to wait for a villager to unpack before you can move them out. It's only one day, though. New villagers can move but if it's your 10th villager, it's much less likely.
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Is there any surefire way to get a particular villager to move out without losing any others on accident? I've seen contrasting methods on the internet and I'm wondering which you guys know works best. Thanks
There isn't really a completely risk-free way since most methods involve time travelling, but if you're careful not to pick the wrong options, you should be fine. If you don't want to time travel, all you can do is be patient. There isn't a way to get a specific villager to move because it's random. Some people swear by ignoring them and some people say that you should aggressively befriend them. In my case, the villagers who have pinged me the most are somewhere between those two extremes.
The method I use is pretty safe but it involves time travelling. If you decide to try it, make sure that you have the Beautiful Town ordinance. You'll get bed hair and weeds but hopefully you don't mind those. I can't find the thread where I first read it so I'll try to explain it quickly.
When you get a villager to ping you, save the game and quit. Set the 3DS date to a Monday of a week with no events in it. Load the game as your mayor (because you denied a request to move before skipping some time, nobody will have moved out) and immediately save and quit. Go to your 3DS settings and change the year to one year later. This time, start the game as a new character. After the train sequence, you'll get the map from the station but don't go to the Town Hall. Just check the map to see who's missing. Quit without saving and go back to your 3DS settings. Set the date one year back again.
Load the game as your mayor and go find the villager who would be missing in the future. If that villager doesn't ping you, talk to them a few times, save and quit, and load the game again. Go talk to that villager again and if they still don't mention moving, save and quit, and try again. Keep doing that until that villager asks you about moving.
If it's a villager you want to keep, say no, then save the game and quit. Go to your 3DS settings and set it one year forward again. This time, load the game as your mayor and immediately save and quit. Set the date another year later and use a new character to check who's missing, then go back one year again (the year you saved as the mayor the last time you skipped a year and saved and quitted) and use the mayor to talk to that character as I explained before. Keep repeating this process until it's a villager you want to move out.
When it's a villager you want to get rid of, pay attention to the date they say when they ask you about moving out, and tell them to go. Save and quit. You can now set your 3DS date to your normal date. Time travelling back is one day forward, so if the villager was going to move in 5 days they will now move in 4.
This method is pretty safe as long as you don't pick the wrong option when you're supposed to start with a new character.