btw I did run the numbers yesterday since I truly did think it was off for there being 4 scum. I think the most important thing to remember is that Kallie changed the KP from 1 to the normal formula after talking to geoni in particular
Imagine the worst case scenario where each Day ends in a ML and scum get each kill successfully:
13 v 4 (1 KP)
N1: 12 v 4
D2: 11 v 4
N2: 10 v 4
D3: 9 v 4
N3: 8 v 4
D4: 7 v 4
N4: 6 v 4
D5: 5 v 4
ML Day 5 and lose
13 v 4 (2 KP)- what most are assuming were in
N1: 12 v 4
D2: 10 v 4
N2: 9 v 4
D3: 7 v 4
N3: 6 v 4
Scum kills 2 successfully, so ML Day 3 and lose
14 v 3 (1 KP)
N1: 13 v 3
D2: 12 v 3
N2: 11 v 3
D3: 10 v 3
N3: 9 v 3
D4: 8 v 3
N4: 7 v 3
D5: 6 v 3
N5: 5 v 3
D6: 4 v 3
ML Day 6 and lose
14 v 3 (2 KP)
N1: 13 v 3
D2: 11 v 3
N2: 10 v 3
D3: 8 v 3
N3: 7 v 3
D4: 5 v 3
N4: 4 v 3
D5: 2 v 3
Kill at least 1 successfully, so ML D4 and lose
If kallie started with 4 scum at 1 KP, that means town can afford 5 MLs. The champs game in MU of 12 v 3 with 1KP allows for 5 MLs worse case, so I think that's pretty balanced (MU tries to make the games as balanced as possible). On top of that, if Geoni was helping Kallie (who is familiar with MU's format), I feel like he would recognize this and say this KP is fine (may be overthinking Geoni though). But by going to 2 KP, town could only afford 3 ML. The jump from 5 ML to 3 ML is super big and I think it changes it from pretty balanced to scum sided if you ask me
If Kallie started with 3 scum and 1 KP, it would take 6 ML to lose worse case, which is town sided imo. Going from 6ML to 4ML by going back to the original formula balances things out and I think would warrant a setup change
But Heyden did link to a game where Kallie had the same player count and 2 KP, it may just be 4 scum. But this is why i instinctely thought it was 3 scum after the announcement and now that I thought about it, a team of 3 with the normal formula wouldve made more sense to change than if it was 4 with 1 KP
If there is currently 4 scum with 2 KP, we only have 2 MLs left if worse comes to worse which doesn't feel balanced to me so yea that's why I said 3 and now go back to that claim
Anyways I'm gonna read back to EoD before going back to my work