Ok I think it’s a little soon to be making hard reads but here are some of my general observations of the players at the moment. This came from me quickly skimming the whole game up until this post.
1. Damniel – Emolga did note that he seems to be taking a very town leader-esque role early on, and I generally agree with that. However I don’t find any of his pushes or questions to be particularly suspect atm and he is actually generating good content and trying to pin people in corners. I think a lot of his activity will be helpful in coming days so for now I’m willing to trust him.
2. Trundle – I always have a hard time reading Trundle. He did seem overly fixated on minor points early on and has been forced to backpedal/explain away a lot of what he’s been saying in light of withering criticism from Geoni. However if I had to say what the Geoni and Trundle interaction is at the moment, I would say it’s way more likely to be town v town then anything else. It’s almost certainly not maf v maf attempting distancing in the first hours of day 1, in my opinion. Either they’re both town or one is maf in my view. I did find his phraseology in reference to me interesting – “inquisitive as always” or something like that – which could be interpreted as him keeping track of the townies that could potentially give him trouble. His “reaction test” of mog was weird too, especially at this early point in the game. He picked someone who wasn’t incredibly active or prominent to reaction test. Why does he keep calling players “interesting” – it’s a noncommittal bull**** weasel word that I think makes him look like he’s giving meaningful commentary on players when he really isn’t. Sometimes his comments read like a neutral observer of the game and not even an active participant. He also flip flopped on what should be a relatively uncontroversial statement – more information/posts = better for town – within an hour, in what came off to me as a pretty stilted way. Slight scumlean.
3. Jacob – a lot of people seem to suspect him, I find his initial statement of trundle v Dan being town v town a little strange. Strange for a maf!Jacob to just outright state (if either one or none of his teammates are in that mix) or strange for a town!Jacob to state either (I would not have strong townread either at that point in time). Rn I am not exactly comfortable with the amount of pressure he’s facing – it feels a little orchestrated. His post on mog seems really interesting if the two were a team: “i don't think META reading someone as introspective as mog is a good d1 tactic. She leaves and enters every game thinking about her emotional responses and wording and everything, so she easily can be masking or intentionally rewording things to confuse ppl reading her meta” It displays an uncomfortable level of knowledge of her thought processes which is either (a) because they’re good friends and know each other well or (b) they’ve been talking a lot about things…in another chat…
4. Emolga59 – I think it’s bold of them to give analysis on Daniel potentially being scum at this point. I can’t envision a maf team that thinks it’s a good idea to cast shade on a prominent town leader rn. I’m definitely willing to consider the possibility of scum Daniel even though it disagrees with my view atm. Emolga strikes me as genuinely trying to help and forge their own way in their couple of posts so a slight townlean for now.
5. DinoTown – asking a lot of questions, seems to be trying his best to navigate a lot of unfamiliar territory and terminology. I do find it interesting that Trundle chose him as a better newbie over Emolga, could be indicative of a mafia coaching relationship (ie Trundle coaching Dino to act clueless), but that’s too reachy a conclusion to come to atm. For now I will slight townlean him because he seems genuine, but do be aware of him as we keep going.
6. f11 – f11 is generally a rather hard one to read early on but becomes easier to whittle down as the game continues. I don’t really find much of what they’ve said to be that significant, quite frankly – until they started pressing Jacob. Their first post was a joke post about me vs. you and you’re the scum. Null. Worth looking into the people who have made a read on them based on the little they’ve said though, most notably Geoni. The Jacob pressure is good though and I’m willing to bet that f11 and Jacob are on different teams.
7. Locket – their entrance post is pretty decent and I will await further contributions to the thread to really have more of a say. I will note her pointing out Punchy’s stanza-like post is a bit weird and implies she could have knowledge of a power, that she could only likely have if she was maf on a team with Punchy. But that’s a rather far-fetched and reachy conclusion to reach just from that comment – it’s just something I wanted to put out there.
8. Oath2Order – I agree with Geoni that his D1 post style pisses me off. That being said, it’s not really AI. It could be purposefully bleak and vague to not be set up and used against him later on? Rn I don’t see him aligned with much of anyone and so he could be another TP candidate.
9. PunchyDaHufflepuff – he seems to be pretty typical town punchy at the moment in my view, but I do find it weird how he is trying to pin a particular playstyle on mog this early on in the game. Very slight townlean but one to def keep an eye on. I don’t think scum punchy would be so quick to townlock somebody at this stage in the game. His TL in shawo is one of the weirdest bits of analysis I’ve seen in this game thus far though.
10. amazonevan19 – the biggest filthiest liar ever and you should scumlock him now.
11. Geoni – always a hard one to read too, like I said before he’s a very good player on either alignment. The biggest flaw with him when he’s scum is that he gets tripped up in some elaborate defense. His own highly analytical style often comes back to bite him in some form. I think that he’s been making good presses on people and doubt he’d have scum motivation behind them atm but do keep in mind what I say about how he plays scum. Probably my biggest problem with him atm is townleaning f11 when f11 had said practically nothing of value at that point.
12. Skarmoury – I think they’re new? First two posts were pretty useless fluff about how “heated” things were (when they weren’t given TBT mafia standards) but that doesn’t really tell me much of anything, esp. if they aren’t used to the level of play on this site. Backed Heyden on his random scum list.
13. PandaDarling – they posted? I saw a couple of references to her early on but I don’t recall her saying much of anything? Null
14. Sheabae – MIA I think
15. tae – seems very irritable and jumpy, to be frank. Def one to keep an eye on. Idk if this is typical of their scum playstyle or not and I am too pressed for time to look into it atm.
16. glow – her first post jumped onto my line of questioning on Trundle and also commented on Jacob’s “interesting” line about Dan and Trundle being town v. town. Notably called out Geoni on his first post, which is odd because I didn’t necessarily think anything was wrong with it. I guess she was expecting more from him idk. So far I’m getting town vibes though.
17. Shawo – continues to ignore repeated requests and almost seems to be flaunting it at this point. Ihnc what they’re even doing in this game. If ever there was a candidate for a rogue/third party, I honestly wouldn’t be surprised if it was Shawo. Please step up with more substantive posts, a lot of what you are saying is just absolutely meaningless and useless fluff, and it pisses me off.
18. Mogyay – she usually plays the same way no matter what alignment she is and I do find it interesting how Punchy has been trying to nail down a particular playstyle on her. Idk what that says about Punchy or Mog. Her first post seemed all right but her interactions with Punchy are a little weird in my book. Null.
19. Heyden – idk I’m a little uncomfortable with how he just point blank told me “Also that definitely wasn't a pocket lol” in reference to what shawo said about me, almost like he knew.
20. Harbour – seems genuine, null atm but could lean town if I read their posts sideways with one eye closed. I like her challenging Geoni on his f11 read because it mirrors my thought on the matter.
Rn I need to go back to work as this basically took all of my lunch break to write
I would be a little bit leery of anyone who’s already townread me at this point in the game as maf could be just trying to follow general sentiment. Or maybe I am just good at looking town idk. I also haven’t really thought of who would be good on potential maf teams, and that’s usually the weakest part of my mafia analysis in any given game. But I could try and step back and discern potential patterns later
