Turnip Price Research

[Liquefy]

Using my experience, here is the distribution of maximum weekly turnip prices:

650 or more: 0 weeks (out of 120 weeks = 0.0%)
600 or more: 2 weeks (1.7%)
550 or more: 4 weeks (3.3%)
500 or more: 9 weeks (7.5%)
450 or more: 13 weeks (10.8%)
400 or more: 16 weeks (13.3%)
350 or more: 24 weeks (20.0%)
300 or more: 25 weeks (20.8%)
250 or more: 33 weeks (27.5%)
200 or more: 39 weeks (32.5%)
150 or more: 67 weeks (55.8%)
100 or more: 105 weeks (87.5%)
70 or more: 120 weeks (100.0%)
less than 70: 0 weeks (0.0%)

So, the maximum price is 200 or more about a third of the time.

Also, according to this experience, a price of 500 or more will happen about once every 13 weeks.

Using the same data, here is the distribution by "price period:"

Monday am: 20 weeks (out of 120 weeks = 16.7%)
Monday pm: 0 weeks (0.0%)
Tuesday am: 0 weeks (0.0%)
Tuesday pm: 0 weeks (0.0%)
Wednesday am: 4 weeks (3.3%)
Wednesday pm: 17 weeks (14.2%)
Thursday am: 20 weeks (16.7%)
Thursday pm: 17 weeks (14.2%)
Friday am: 14 weeks (11.7%)
Friday pm: 15 weeks (12.5%)
Saturday am: 10 weeks (8.3%)
Saturday pm: 5 weeks (4.2%)

So, the maximum price occurs on Thursdays almost a third of the time.

 

[Fanghorn]

I might put this on the TBT web site. ( Ill give you credit ^^) Good job!!

 

[Kyle]

This is pretty well thought out.

 

[Fanghorn]

Its up, and, BTW you have full credit.

 

[DarthGohan1]

Wow...nice job Liquefy!

 

[Liquefy]

Also, here are the 25 highest prices and their immediately preceding three prices:

76 116 202 634
74 147 180 628
69 110 162 566
66 136 171 550
72 133 189 535
64 118 144 534
63 76 168 521
64 109 147 516
67 128 199 515
75 128 188 470
63 77 153 469
72 125 172 465
73 118 195 460
71 89 181 426
73 82 182 420
73 148 211 412
68 119 138 397
60 106 170 395
71 122 189 394
69 101 188 392
72 96 156 392
75 137 204 365
66 117 140 355
73 110 204 353
75 113 190 349

Notice how the spikes are all preceded by a relatively low price, then a two-price "run up," (often a price < 150 followed by a price > 150). This might be a "signal" to look for when checking prices twice a day.

 

[IslandGuy]

You posted this on Nsider 2 weeks ago. :lol: Now to have de-ja-vu.....

WOW! thx

Doesn't this seem familiar......hmm....

 

[Jeremy]

Wow... nice work.


^_^

 

[Knightshot]

dude nice.


B)