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Mafia PunchyDaHufflepuff Mafia 3: Return of the Punch - Dethy

Pretty much all scenarios come out to 75% chance of town win from my calculations, dependent on roles that not even scum knows yet and who has them

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Vanessa, look at Dad tonight please. It severely increases win probabilities in the event that he's scum. Dedenne, if you somehow happen to survive the night, don't say what you got until Vanessa says what she got
 
sorry i wasnt here i was asleep when everyone was talking lmao oof D:
all this stuff is way too advanced for my brain so ig i'll inspect phil. i investigated dolby because i rly had no idea who to investigate
 
Oops I forgot Day is only 12 hours. I would've voted no lynch anyways because irs not worth the risk that we're wrong when we could get much more clarity tonight. I will send in an investigation for Dad

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*it's
 
I chose Phil to inspect because I've only played with him like once so I don't know how to read him
All these semantics are really confusing tbh

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Not gonna answer my question Vanessa?

I was still reading back oops
 
I investigated Dolby for no real reason. Anyone I investigate will help me narrow down my sanity without actually contributing anything on their alignment, so I didn't worry about it. It's ~2 hours to D2, hype
 
Yeah I’m on Vanessa tonight. Just looked at my chart and there is one surefire way for one of the scum to avoid auto I still think we’re going in with the advantage and only two potential scum. Phil, on Dad tonight

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Also Phil, I’m pretty sure you being on Dad and surviving narrows it down to two players should you both survive
 
DAE TWAH

Philemon has died. He was PonchoDaHufflepuff.

12 hours to lynch.
 
Ok, so it’s Dad or Vanessa. I haven’t received my inspection back

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Town on Vanessa. Dad what’d you get

Also would like to remind Dedenne to not post her inspection results unitl Vanessa posts hers

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Becoming more worried Dad is maf honestly
 
Dedenne came back as mafia to me so I am going on the assumption that I am insane. You are naive. Dedenne is Paranoid. Vanessa is scum.
 
Dedenne came back as mafia to me so I am going on the assumption that I am insane. You are naive. Dedenne is Paranoid. Vanessa is scum.

Here’s the thing. I don’t think that Vanessa has the foresight to kill Philemon here, but if you’re scum I’m pretty sure that there’s a 50% chance you killed yourself here so (iirc)
 
Yeah, I know, but damn that’s a good path for you

I can't disagree that it is but I do disagree that it takes that much foresight, especially when you are mafia and you only have 4 people to figure out.

Anyways I gotta go to bed. Just observe her lol.
 
Dad came back as town I am not paranoid

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I must be insane? Which means Dad is actually scum
Scum Phil = town
Town Dad = scum
 
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