that's not how stats works unfortunately, that'd mean that pulling 10 tickets would give you a 100% chance of winning (which is obviously not the case).
the chance of you losing a pull is 270/300, there are 5 pulls, the case that you don't win any pulls is (270/300)^5, 1 minus that is the probability you win at least 1 pull and get the weird doll (about 40%)
- - - Post Merge - - -
(also 5/10 is 50%? )
I was under the impression that all five winners would each get a set of five dolls. The description for the ticket says that it's for "TBT's doll collectible collection." Makes it sound like, when someone wins, they get the whole "collection." Am I misunderstanding this?If they raffle the weird doll first though, toads has a high odds (~10%, or 32 tokens / 300-ish tokens), but if they raffle the weird doll last then toads has to be lucky not to be picked until the last.
I was under the impression that all five winners would each get a set of five dolls. The description for the ticket says that it's for "TBT's doll collectible collection." Makes it sound like, when someone wins, they get the whole "collection." Am I misunderstanding this?
You are right that you win a set, not the individual dolls! There will be 5 more Weird Dolls added to circulation after the raffle is done.
Purchasing a raffle ticket makes a person eligible for the 5 dolls listed (Jingle, Kapp'n, Timmy, Voodoo, Weird). There will be 5 winners. Thus, 5 Weird Dolls.What do you mean?
You are right that you win a set, not the individual dolls! There will be 5 more Weird Dolls added to circulation after the raffle is done.
Yeah, where's the TBT He promised?