Same, I was super surprised as well! xD
that's not how stats works unfortunately, that'd mean that pulling 10 tickets would give you a 100% chance of winning (which is obviously not the case).
the chance of you losing a pull is 270/300, there are 5 pulls, the case that you don't win any pulls is (270/300)^5, 1 minus that is the probability you win at least 1 pull and get the weird doll (about 40%)
- - - Post Merge - - -
(also 5/10 is 50%? )
I was under the impression that all five winners would each get a set of five dolls. The description for the ticket says that it's for "TBT's doll collectible collection." Makes it sound like, when someone wins, they get the whole "collection." Am I misunderstanding this?If they raffle the weird doll first though, toads has a high odds (~10%, or 32 tokens / 300-ish tokens), but if they raffle the weird doll last then toads has to be lucky not to be picked until the last.
I was under the impression that all five winners would each get a set of five dolls. The description for the ticket says that it's for "TBT's doll collectible collection." Makes it sound like, when someone wins, they get the whole "collection." Am I misunderstanding this?
You are right that you win a set, not the individual dolls! There will be 5 more Weird Dolls added to circulation after the raffle is done.
Purchasing a raffle ticket makes a person eligible for the 5 dolls listed (Jingle, Kapp'n, Timmy, Voodoo, Weird). There will be 5 winners. Thus, 5 Weird Dolls.What do you mean?
You are right that you win a set, not the individual dolls! There will be 5 more Weird Dolls added to circulation after the raffle is done.
Now for that class action lawsuit against Woods Expedition Guide!
Yeah, where's the TBT He promised?
Now for that class action lawsuit against Woods Expedition Guide!